Florida Prepares for the Possibility That Hurricane Nicole Would Veer Toward the State

Hurricane Nicole Would Veer Toward the State: The National Hurricane Center warned that Subtropical Storm Nicole could make landfall as a Category 1 hurricane late Wednesday or early Thursday.

Florida Prepares for Hurricane Nicole’s Possible Approach

Subtropical Storm Nicole could make landfall as a Category 1 hurricane late Wednesday or early Thursday. Hurricane Nicole was 415 miles east-northeast of the northeastern Bahamas at 10 p.m. 45-mph winds, higher gusts. Tuesday and Thursday, the NHC anticipates a west or west-southwest shift. Nicole will reach the northwestern Bahamas on Tuesday and Tuesday night, pass close or over them on Wednesday, and approach Florida on Wednesday night.

“Nicole might become a hurricane over the northwest Bahamas on Wednesday or Wednesday night.” At 10 p.m., the NHC issued a tropical storm warning from Florida to Georgia. The hurricane center warned around 10 p.m. that Nicole’s forecast is uncertain.

Wide structure and dry mid-level air suggest Nicole won’t intensify quickly. The system should form an inner core within 24 hours and be near or at hurricane status between the northwest Bahamas and the Florida peninsula. 34 counties, including Central Florida, are under a state of emergency. DeSantis urged Floridians to be prepared and heed emergency alerts. We’ll track the storm as it nears Florida.

Broward, Charlotte, Citrus, Clay, Collier, DeSoto, Duval, Flagler, Glades, Hardee, Highlands, Hillsborough, Indian River, Lake, Lee, Manatee, Martin, Miami-Dade, Nassau, Okeechobee, Orange, Osceola, Palm Beach, Pasco, Polk, Putnam, Sarasota, Seminole, St. Johns, St. Lucie

Tropical storm alert for Orange, Osceola, Seminole, Volusia, Lake, Polk, Sumter, and Marion counties. The NWS Melbourne office cautioned that [Nicole’s] effects will be felt across east central Florida. Conditions will deteriorate significantly after Wednesday, so finish preparations by then. Follow the forecast, Watches, and Warnings. Hurricane Ian survivors should check the weather and prepare.

The five-day forecast shows it making landfall between Miami and Brevard County, traveling northwest over the state south of Orlando, then shifting Friday while still inland and being pulled north across the middle of the state and into the southern U.S.

According to the NHC, subtropical cyclones have closed surface wind circulation and deep convection. Its winds will be dispersed, less symmetrical, and cooler than a tropical storm’s. Subtropical systems get most of their energy from “baroclinic” sources, which equalize temperature and pressure.

Since it’s not yet a tropical system, its trajectory and strength are less predictable, but the three-day cone of uncertainty has a landfall range from south of Miami to Volusia County, with a probable landfall north of West Palm Beach in Martin County.

_Hurricane Nicole Would Veer Toward the State
Storm surge, high winds, and heavy rain might be on its path. “We might expect higher-end consequences, dangerous storm surge, significant tropical-storm-force damaging winds… even hurricane-force if this system continues,” said NHC acting deputy director Michael Brennan.

The Bahamas could experience 3 to 5 feet over normal storm surge and 2 to 4 inches of rain through Thursday. The NHC warned Florida’s coast from North Palm Beach to Georgia may witness 3 to 5 feet of storm surge, 2 to 4 feet south of North Palm to Hallandale Beach and along St. Johns to East Palatka.

Hurricane Ian flooded the St. Johns River in September. Significant rain from this system could stress already-falling water tables, causing further floods, warns the NWS. The NWS warned of dangerous waters Monday morning. Winds and rising waves may cause choppy surf, rip currents, and beach erosion today and tonight.

The NWS anticipates peak winds in east Central Florida on Wednesday night and Thursday, as the center nears the coast.

“Squalls could cause 50-60 mph wind gusts along the coast and 35-50 mph inland,” the forecast said. Storm total rainfall accumulations are anticipated to reach 4-6 inches around the coast and the St Johns River in Brevard County, 3-4 inches for most of the area, and 2-3 inches for northern Lake County and locations west of Florida’s Turnpike, with locally higher amounts possible.

DeSantis said state emergency officials are in contact with all 67 counties to assess resource deficiencies and implement swift, effective responses. He advised Floridians to be storm-ready.

Floridians should know if they live in an evacuation zone, flood-prone neighborhood, mobile home, or dangerous structure during hurricane season. Wind and rain resistance should be known.

Volusia County’s coast was damaged by Hurricane Ian, and Emergency Director Jim Judge warns of north and east winds. This storm could cause more beach erosion, he said. Rainfall of 4 to 8 inches could cause flooding and power outages through Friday.

Seminole County officials predict Nicole to dump several inches of rain this week, especially in areas where Hurricane Ian floodwaters just began draining. Alan Harris, Seminole’s emergency management director, said, “Nobody likes it.” Every forecast worsens. Minor flooding on St. Johns. Nicole’s rainfall may cause moderate flooding in Seminole regions, with 7 to 8 inches.

The storm’s zigzag path worries Harris.

He warned of a double-whammy. 2008 in Seminole County. This isn’t Tropical Storm Fay, but the storm came over us, turned around, then came back over us. Similar.”

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